by England vs New Zealand Predictions
- New Zealand win by 6-10 points – 5/1 Betway
England kick off their autumn series by hosting New Zealand at Twickenham on Saturday for their first international match since playing two matches against their Saturday opponents in July (3:10 p.m., TNT Sports app and Discovery+).
England’s two tour matches to New Zealand and Japan ended in defeat for Steve Borthwick’s side, but they were close defeats, losing the first test by one, losing 16-15 before being beaten 24-17 at Eden Park.
It is the first time England have returned home since their excellent 23-22 victory over Ireland in the Six Nations in March and the comfort of home and the Twickenham crowd could be vital this weekend.
The Red Rose come into the match on the back of four defeats in their last six matches, with defeats against France and Scotland adding to Saturday’s opponents’ two defeats. As well as beating Ireland, they also had a 52-17 victory over Japan.
Despite their formidable aura, the All Blacks have also experienced mixed results of late with three wins and three defeats in their last six matches. They crushed Japan last time out with a 64-19 triumph after back-to-back wins over Australia, but they were also beaten twice by South Africa and once by Argentina.
New Zealand enter the series in good form, which will pose a significant challenge for the England team, who also face Australia, South Africa and Japan over consecutive weekends in November. Getting off to a good start against the All Blacks would provide a huge boost to these fixtures.
Borthwick have made a number of changes to their squad and scrum-half Ben Spencer will make his first start this weekend, with his previous six international appearances all coming as a substitute.
Center Henry Slade returns to the side after recovering from shoulder surgery and Ellis Genge, who missed defeats to the All Blacks this summer with a calf injury, is back at the position of free pillar.
England will also hope that Immanuel Feyi-Waboso and Tommy Freeman, on the wings, can continue the form they showed in New Zealand, with the pair contributing to 15 of the 32 points scored.
It’s no surprise that betting sites have New Zealand listed as 4/7 favorites, given England have won just one of their last five meetings at Twickenham, which returned in 2012 when they lost 38-21.
You can get odds of 6/4 for an England win, while betting apps have priced a draw at 20/1, which is quite generous considering the last time these teams met in England was 2022 ended at 25 each.
Given their recent form, it’s difficult to look past the visitors for victory, particularly their clinical performances against England this summer.
While the All Blacks have been in regular action over the past three months, Borthwick’s men will play their first match since July. There will be no margin for error or time to get into rhythm on the field.
For this reason, we take 5/1 the odds on rugby betting sites for visitors to win at Twickenham. Expect England to put up a fight, but New Zealand could well take the game away from them in the second half.
England vs New Zealand Prediction: New Zealand to win by 6-10 points – 5/1 Betway
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